TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129629
Played Sep 15Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1159111113911––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 72–51 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 51 of their 123 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kolisnyk beat Ruzicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-51 in 123
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 21 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1739 vs Kolisnyk 1806
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Kolisnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 60% vs Kolisnyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -2 · Kolisnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.61 / Kolisnyk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129629
Ruzicka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 172 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it93% 96 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it77% 130 of 169
Kolisnyk2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 74 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwayKolisnyk5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%4 of 4
AwayKolisnyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka7Kolisnyk3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka3Kolisnyk4n = 7Kolisnyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaKolisnykR − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.837.1+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime679 / 1406 vs 552 / 109648.3%50.4%679 / 1406 vs 552 / 1096Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.61/Kolisnyk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka43101011121O. Kolisnyk4512127143
LSep 13 · 16:30J. Ruzicka4071012111O. Kolisnyk46111210133
WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka4011511133O. Kolisnyk369115111
LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka248970O. Kolisnyk331111113
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Ruzicka371113133O. Kolisnyk31911110
WSep 9 · 17:30J. Ruzicka371511113O. Kolisnyk2913970
WSep 9 · 14:30J. Ruzicka4411913113O. Kolisnyk376111191
LAug 29 · 07:30J. Ruzicka4010119101O. Kolisnyk4012511123
LAug 27 · 20:58J. Ruzicka367127101O. Kolisnyk44111011123
WAug 27 · 20:30J. Ruzicka47141111113O. Kolisnyk30163561
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 15 · 10:00V. Svechota1.7312911113J. Ruzicka2.001011871LSep 15 · 09:28J. Ruzicka2.207131114102V. Svechota1.611115812123WSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133LSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143WSep 15 · 06:30V. Svechota1.73611781J. Ruzicka2.0011911113WSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113WSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113WSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.8011117113R. Urbaniec1.91681171LSep 15 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk1.61791191R. Urbaniec2.2011117113LSep 15 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.83117101162V. Svechota1.83711126113WSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143LSep 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk1.7311651262R. Urbaniec2.009111110113WSep 14 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.52125311113R. Rose2.35101111682WSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.8011127113R. Urbaniec1.916101141WSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
O. Kolisnyk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.