TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129069
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Svechota
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119711811––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Svechota above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Svechota 17–22 Jiri Ruzicka Vojtech Svechota has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:40What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svechota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-22 in 39
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svechota 1771 vs Ruzicka 1741
Svechota
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svechota 60% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svechota 80% vs Ruzicka 50%
Svechota
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svechota -1 · Ruzicka +4
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvechota 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svechota)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129069
Svechota1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Ruzicka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvechota5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvechota80%4 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svechota5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Svechota5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S3Svechota4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Svechota3Ruzicka2n = 5Svechota took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvechotaRuzickaS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.034.2+0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvechotaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 332 vs 678 / 140258.7%48.4%195 / 332 vs 678 / 1402Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaSvechota 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:30V. Svechota32611781J. Ruzicka4211911113
LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota218580J. Ruzicka331111113
WSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota471111113113J. Ruzicka4191361122
WSep 11 · 06:30V. Svechota4211119113J. Ruzicka35871191
LAug 20 · 03:00V. Svechota209560J. Ruzicka331111113
LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota30116130J. Ruzicka391311153
WJul 24 · 10:00V. Svechota3961111113J. Ruzicka28111791
WJul 24 · 06:30V. Svechota361112133J. Ruzicka25410110
WJul 20 · 17:30V. Svechota331111113J. Ruzicka174940
LJul 20 · 15:00V. Svechota501171012102J. Ruzicka494111210123
V. Svechota10
WSep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.007260V. Svechota1.361111113LSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.381114291V. Svechota1.5371611113WSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113WSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113WSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991LSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111LSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113LSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122
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