TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129625
Played Sep 15Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211611––––
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 61.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 5–16 Vojtech Svechota Radim Urbaniec has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Svechota
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1719 vs Svechota 1771
Svechota
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Svechota 60%
Svechota
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Svechota 70%
Svechota
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +2 · Svechota -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 3.00 / Svechota 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Svechota)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129625
Urbaniec3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 177 of 446
Down 0–1, comes back21% 52 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 139
Svechota1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwaySvechota8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvechota77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec1Svechota9n = 10Svechota took 9 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec2Svechota6n = 8Svechota took 6 of 8
S5Urbaniec2Svechota1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaU − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.742.8−10.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime631 / 1244 vs 195 / 33250.7%58.7%631 / 1244 vs 195 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaUrbaniec 3.00/Svechota 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec157260V. Svechota331111113
LSep 11 · 12:30R. Urbaniec4791118722V. Svechota571181611113
LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec32117681V. Svechota4291111113
WAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec521061411113V. Svechota52121112892
LAug 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec354101291V. Svechota44111210113
WJul 12 · 13:29R. Urbaniec43311711113V. Svechota4411711692
LJul 12 · 12:30R. Urbaniec162950V. Svechota331111113
LJul 7 · 24:30R. Urbaniec32911841V. Svechota3711411113
LJun 19 · 11:30R. Urbaniec24411271V. Svechota4011711113
LJun 19 · 07:00R. Urbaniec31381551V. Svechota46111113113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk1.7311651262R. Urbaniec2.009111110113WSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113LSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.8011127113R. Urbaniec1.916101141WSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890LSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113WSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113
V. Svechota10
LSep 15 · 06:30V. Svechota1.73611781J. Ruzicka2.0011911113LSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.381114291V. Svechota1.5371611113WSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143
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