TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130280
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210511311116118
Radek Rose
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Radek Rose below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 13–17 Radek Rose Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kolisnyk beat Rose 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-17 in 30
Rose
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1856 vs Rose 1705
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 100% vs Rose 60%
Kolisnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 70% vs Rose 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +5 · Rose +1
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.52 / Rose 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130280
Kolisnyk1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Rose2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk7wins
AwayRose3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayRose66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk7Rose3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Kolisnyk5Rose5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolisnyk6Rose4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S4Kolisnyk4Rose1n = 5Kolisnyk took 4 of 5
S5Kolisnyk2Rose1n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykRoseK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.7+2.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykRoseBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1094 vs 159 / 33950.3%46.9%550 / 1094 vs 159 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.52/Rose 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk351113113R. Rose2551190
WAug 7 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk361111143R. Rose2879120
LJul 31 · 16:59O. Kolisnyk204880R. Rose331111113
WJul 31 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Rose246990
WJun 16 · 20:30O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Rose184680
LJun 10 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk4778111292R. Rose491111610113
WMar 11 · 19:00O. Kolisnyk3911611113R. Rose37911981
WFeb 11 · 22:03O. Kolisnyk42115511103R. Rose4381111942
LFeb 11 · 21:30O. Kolisnyk371196111R. Rose4491111133
WFeb 1 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk5191191393R. Rose46118111152
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.8011127113R. Urbaniec1.916101141WSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111WSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250WSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113LSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111LSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182
R. Rose10
WSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113LSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180
Upcoming Matches
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