TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140636
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711411––––
Marcel Pikous
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 56.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 76–65 Marcel Pikous Marcel Pikous has won 65 of their 141 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-65 in 141
Louda
Wrong
gap of 11 in 141, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1699 vs Pikous 1616
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 40% vs Pikous 20%
Louda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 60% vs Pikous 30%
Louda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Pikous +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.73 / Pikous 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Louda)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140636
Louda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 186 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it87% 83 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it73% 136 of 187
Pikous2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda5wins
AwayPikous5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda50%2 of 4
AwayPikous50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S2Louda8Pikous2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S3Louda5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S5Louda1Pikous2n = 3Pikous took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaPikousL − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.1+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1201 vs 361 / 68251%52.9%613 / 1201 vs 361 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.73/Pikous 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 23:00J. Louda34154871M. Pikous46131111113
WAug 2 · 22:00J. Louda4171112113M. Pikous331141081
LJul 31 · 24:30J. Louda4271113742M. Pikous521181111113
WJul 28 · 01:30J. Louda47111411113M. Pikous376121361
LJul 21 · 23:00J. Louda33711871M. Pikous3811511113
LJul 19 · 21:29J. Louda29671151M. Pikous4211119113
WJul 19 · 18:30J. Louda4111136113M. Pikous295111121
WJul 16 · 15:30J. Louda611811119123M. Pikous47204211102
WJul 15 · 21:30J. Louda3851111113M. Pikous33116881
LJul 15 · 20:30J. Louda47111171082M. Pikous44461112113
J. Louda10
WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113
M. Pikous10
LSep 17 · 17:28R. Urbaniec1.8311139113M. Pikous1.835111191WSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.7512114113M. Pikous1.401041171LSep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra1.9611118113M. Pikous1.67931181LSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113WSep 9 · 22:00M. Pikous1.821311113M. Regner1.8811790WSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113LSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071
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