TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145228
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61112141012––––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 65 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 57.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 21–19 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kadavy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Kadavy
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1771 vs Zacharda 1698
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 60% vs Zacharda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 60% vs Zacharda 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy -1 · Zacharda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.61 / Zacharda 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kadavy)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13145228
Kadavy1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 75 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it85% 55 of 65
Zacharda2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 23 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy5wins
AwayZacharda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy80%4 of 5
AwayZacharda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S2Kadavy7Zacharda3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S3Kadavy3Zacharda7n = 10Zacharda took 7 of 10
S4Kadavy5Zacharda2n = 7Kadavy took 5 of 7
S5Kadavy1Zacharda2n = 3Zacharda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyZachardaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.7+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 311 vs 127 / 26958.8%47.2%183 / 311 vs 127 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.61/Zacharda 2.20
Miss
What we said
57.7%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy25118511J. Zacharda3741111113
WSep 11 · 11:20O. Kadavy331111113J. Zacharda165830
WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy46116711113J. Zacharda3411111292
LApr 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy4561191182J. Zacharda49117119113
WApr 10 · 14:55O. Kadavy3741111113J. Zacharda26114651
LJan 4 · 19:00O. Kadavy2610880J. Zacharda331211103
WJan 4 · 18:25O. Kadavy391111983J. Zacharda29851151
WDec 12 · 15:55O. Kadavy331111113J. Zacharda175570
LNov 28 · 19:40O. Kadavy33812491J. Zacharda43111011113
LNov 28 · 15:55O. Kadavy4861391192J. Zacharda531111119113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113WSep 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.441111113M. Cerny2.633420LSep 15 · 22:25J. Zlamal1.601111113O. Kadavy2.206790WSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113WSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113LSep 15 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.2511117982J. Zlamal1.33991111113WSep 15 · 18:25O. Kadavy1.531117113L. Soucek2.3841590LSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113
J. Zacharda10
WSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny1.53119731J. Zacharda2.3891111113LSep 17 · 15:25J. Zacharda2.63671251D. Bochnak1.44111110113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Cerny1.53111110692J. Zacharda2.38921211113LSep 17 · 12:50J. Zacharda2.50851281M. Cerny1.50111110113WSep 17 · 11:20P. Benes2.0041050J. Zacharda1.731112113WSep 17 · 10:50J. Kocab1.83311681J. Zacharda1.8311311113WSep 14 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.36511941J. Zacharda2.8011811113LSep 14 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.36111115113J. Zacharda3.00781781WSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113WSep 14 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.63131311123M. Cerny1.4411154101
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