TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134423
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411711––––
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Stusek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 48 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Martin Stusek at 54.1%
48 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 18–10 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Stusek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1744 vs Kadavy 1750
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 40% vs Kadavy 60%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 60% vs Kadavy 40%
Stusek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Kadavy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.73 / Kadavy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stusek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13134423
Stusek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 54 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it68% 43 of 63
Kadavy2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek6wins
AwayKadavy4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStusek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek80%4 of 5
AwayKadavy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S2Stusek6Kadavy4n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S3Stusek6Kadavy4n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S4Stusek4Kadavy3n = 7Stusek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekKadavyS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.935.0+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 679 vs 180 / 30647.1%58.8%320 / 679 vs 180 / 306Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.73/Kadavy 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek471131111113O. Kadavy4413116682
LAug 14 · 21:58M. Stusek4261111862O. Kadavy43114611113
WAug 14 · 20:55M. Stusek3711114113O. Kadavy32861171
LAug 8 · 19:55M. Stusek2271140O. Kadavy351113113
LAug 2 · 15:25M. Stusek29115851O. Kadavy4181111113
WJul 28 · 21:55M. Stusek46111311113O. Kadavy37715691
WJul 28 · 20:55M. Stusek4691111153O. Kadavy411189131
WJul 26 · 13:59M. Stusek331111113O. Kadavy126510
LJul 26 · 11:25M. Stusek34511991O. Kadavy4111811113
WJul 25 · 16:25M. Stusek331111113O. Kadavy248880
M. Stusek10
LSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek2.638590J. Zlamal1.441111113WSep 13 · 10:04M. Stusek1.6711411133F. Strejc2.109116111LSep 13 · 09:25M. Stusek1.73117781F. Strejc2.0091111113LSep 13 · 07:55T. Vorisek1.6712611143M. Stusek2.1010118121WSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163WSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470WSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.441111113M. Stusek2.639590
O. Kadavy10
WSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113LSep 15 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.2511117982J. Zlamal1.33991111113WSep 15 · 18:25O. Kadavy1.531117113L. Soucek2.3841590LSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682
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O. Kadavy
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