TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122604
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12106111181412––
Martin Stusek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:14 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 84 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 56.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 163–145 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 145 of their 308 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 24:14What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
163-145 in 308
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 18 in 308, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1697 vs Stusek 1774
Stusek
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 20% vs Stusek 80%
Stusek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 30% vs Stusek 50%
Stusek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Stusek +4
Stusek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.67 / Stusek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13122604
Vorisek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Stusek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 76 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek4wins
AwayStusek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStusek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%4 of 4
AwayStusek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek4Stusek6n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S2Vorisek6Stusek4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Vorisek5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek1Stusek2n = 3Stusek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStusekV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.933.1−1.2per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 807 vs 318 / 67751.3%47%414 / 807 vs 318 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.67/Stusek 2.10
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 22:03T. Vorisek3091470M. Stusek381116113
LSep 11 · 19:55T. Vorisek4061141182M. Stusek47118116113
WSep 9 · 18:55T. Vorisek331111113M. Stusek207760
LSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek27731161M. Stusek3911116113
WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek361111143M. Stusek2787120
LSep 6 · 17:55T. Vorisek247890M. Stusek331111113
LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek239860M. Stusek331111113
WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek341112113M. Stusek2471070
WSep 1 · 21:58T. Vorisek351111133M. Stusek2999110
LSep 1 · 20:55T. Vorisek37811991M. Stusek4111811113
T. Vorisek10
WSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241LSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470LSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151WSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143LSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113WSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113
M. Stusek10
WSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163WSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470WSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.441111113M. Stusek2.639590LSep 9 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83911691F. Cernota1.8311711113LSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek2.6311114942J. Zlamal1.44961111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113WSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Stusek
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