TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113536
Played Sep 11Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711118116––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 18–30 Tomas Vorisek Ondrej Kadavy has won 18 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:53What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-30 in 48
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1700 vs Vorisek 1755
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 40% vs Vorisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 70% vs Vorisek 30%
Kadavy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +1 · Vorisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 2.10 / Vorisek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13113536
Kadavy2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Vorisek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 104 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it85% 79 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy2wins
AwayVorisek8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy50%2 of 4
AwayVorisek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Kadavy4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Kadavy4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Kadavy2Vorisek6n = 8Vorisek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyVorisekK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.639.1−4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 293 vs 419 / 81559.4%51.4%174 / 293 vs 419 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekKadavy 2.10/Vorisek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 22:58O. Kadavy—108111152T. Vorisek—121186113
LAug 21 · 19:55O. Kadavy—8516101T. Vorisek—111114123
WAug 19 · 16:25O. Kadavy—1111123T. Vorisek—48100
LAug 17 · 19:55O. Kadavy—115871T. Vorisek—61111113
LAug 16 · 09:54O. Kadavy—1011971T. Vorisek—12411113
LAug 16 · 08:25O. Kadavy—7970T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 14 · 18:55O. Kadavy—1251121T. Vorisek—101113113
LAug 12 · 16:25O. Kadavy—1051141T. Vorisek—12119113
WAug 4 · 18:08O. Kadavy—11138113T. Vorisek—7111191
LAug 4 · 16:55O. Kadavy—911951T. Vorisek—11411113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113WSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101
T. Vorisek10
LSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151WSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143LSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113WSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113LSep 8 · 20:55P. Silhan2.1011511153T. Vorisek1.676114131LSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.