TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112430
Played Sep 11Finished
Jachym Zacharda
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811311––––
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:45 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJachym Zacharda above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 61.6%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Zacharda 18–21 Ondrej Kadavy Jachym Zacharda has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zacharda 1598 vs Kadavy 1712
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zacharda 40% vs Kadavy 60%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zacharda 30% vs Kadavy 50%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zacharda +1 · Kadavy -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZacharda 2.63 / Kadavy 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kadavy)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13112430
Zacharda2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 17 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Kadavy1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 78 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZacharda4wins
AwayKadavy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZacharda66.7%4 of 6
AwayKadavy100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zacharda6Kadavy4n = 10Zacharda took 6 of 10
S2Zacharda3Kadavy7n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S3Zacharda6Kadavy4n = 10Zacharda took 6 of 10
S4Zacharda1Kadavy6n = 7Kadavy took 6 of 7
S5Zacharda2Kadavy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZachardaKadavyZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.438.3−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZachardaKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 258 vs 173 / 29146.5%59.5%120 / 258 vs 173 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyZacharda 2.63/Kadavy 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda—5830O. Kadavy—1111113
LSep 4 · 20:25J. Zacharda—11111292O. Kadavy—116711113
WApr 17 · 14:55J. Zacharda—117119113O. Kadavy—61191182
LApr 10 · 14:55J. Zacharda—114651O. Kadavy—41111113
WJan 4 · 19:00J. Zacharda—1211103O. Kadavy—10880
LJan 4 · 18:25J. Zacharda—851151O. Kadavy—1111983
LDec 12 · 15:55J. Zacharda—5570O. Kadavy—1111113
WNov 28 · 19:40J. Zacharda—111011113O. Kadavy—812491
WNov 28 · 15:55J. Zacharda—1111119113O. Kadavy—61391192
LNov 21 · 19:05J. Zacharda—11117782O. Kadavy—551111113
J. Zacharda10
LSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120LSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113WSep 11 · 10:20J. Zacharda2.75111196123M. Cerny1.40881111102LSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 13:25J. Zacharda2.6310270M. Cerny1.441211113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111WSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113WSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda1.8071040J. Kocab1.911112113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113LSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143
Upcoming Matches
J. Zacharda
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O. Kadavy
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