TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112435
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115511811114119
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:45 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 73.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 1–10 Ondrej Kadavy Jan Kocab has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kadavy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Kadavy
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocab 1554 vs Kadavy 1718
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocab 40% vs Kadavy 80%
Kadavy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocab 40% vs Kadavy 60%
Kadavy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocab -2 · Kadavy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 3.40 / Kadavy 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kadavy)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13112435
Kocab3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 26 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Kadavy1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 78 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab1wins
AwayKadavy9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab0%0 of 3
AwayKadavy85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab3Kadavy7n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S2Kocab3Kadavy7n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S3Kocab4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S4Kocab2Kadavy4n = 6Kadavy took 4 of 6
S5Kocab1Kadavy4n = 5Kadavy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabKadavyKocab − KadavyBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.940.8−5.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 264 vs 175 / 29748.1%58.9%127 / 264 vs 175 / 297Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKocab 3.40/Kadavy 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 7 · 15:55J. Kocab—94121O. Kadavy—1111102
WNov 9 · 15:25J. Kocab—111111063O. Kadavy—11291252
LNov 9 · 12:25J. Kocab—71271172O. Kadavy—1110117113
LOct 24 · 17:25J. Kocab—5840O. Kadavy—1111113
LJul 26 · 14:40J. Kocab—1191111122O. Kadavy—911113143
LJul 26 · 13:25J. Kocab—71251152O. Kadavy—1110118103
LMay 10 · 15:55J. Kocab—11411792O. Kadavy—611911113
LApr 22 · 14:55J. Kocab—8970O. Kadavy—1111113
LApr 13 · 15:40J. Kocab—1198121O. Kadavy—61111143
LApr 1 · 16:25J. Kocab—6990O. Kadavy—1111113
J. Kocab10
WSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113WSep 11 · 11:50M. Cerny1.281169131J. Kocab3.5091111153LSep 7 · 14:30M. Cerny1.301112113J. Kocab3.1581090LSep 7 · 13:25J. Kocab3.0010680M. Cerny1.361211113WSep 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda1.8071040J. Kocab1.911112113WSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113WSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143
Upcoming Matches
J. Kocab
Nothing scheduled
O. Kadavy
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