TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089629
Played Sep 7Finished
David Vesecky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711411––––
Jan Kocab
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeJan Kocab to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Jan Kocab below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 57 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jan Kocab at 59.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 1–10 Jan Kocab David Vesecky has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocab
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Kocab
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1624 vs Kocab 1527
Vesecky
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Kocab 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 20% vs Kocab 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -3 · Kocab -1
Vesecky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocab) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 2.00 / Kocab 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocab)+0.7pp
TT Cup · #13089629
Vesecky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 65 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Kocab1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky1wins
AwayKocab9wins
Kocab leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKocab100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky2Kocab8n = 10Kocab took 8 of 10
S2Vesecky4Kocab6n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S3Vesecky2Kocab8n = 10Kocab took 8 of 10
S4Vesecky0Kocab5n = 5Kocab took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyKocabV − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.936.4−9.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyKocabBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 676 vs 125 / 26057.1%48.1%386 / 676 vs 125 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabVesecky 2.00/Kocab 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.4%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:25D. Vesecky—211761J. Kocab—11711113
LAug 31 · 11:55D. Vesecky—714461J. Kocab—111211113
LAug 27 · 10:03D. Vesecky—7101291J. Kocab—111210113
WAug 27 · 06:55D. Vesecky—1111133J. Kocab—83110
LAug 23 · 13:24D. Vesecky—10580J. Kocab—1211113
LAug 23 · 11:20D. Vesecky—115551J. Kocab—81111113
LJun 19 · 11:25D. Vesecky—611981J. Kocab—11611113
LJul 6 · 18:05D. Vesecky—8630J. Kocab—1111113
LJul 6 · 16:55D. Vesecky—7780J. Kocab—1111113
LJun 5 · 15:55D. Vesecky—8180J. Kocab—1111113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.731111113D. Vesecky2.004460LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282
J. Kocab10
WSep 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda1.8071040J. Kocab1.911112113LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030WSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761LSep 1 · 07:55P. Benes1.831112113J. Kocab1.8361080WSep 1 · 07:25M. Brozek2.3812117462J. Kocab1.531091111113LAug 31 · 14:15P. Benes1.7311117113J. Kocab2.00881171
Upcoming Matches
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J. Kocab
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