TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089605
Played Sep 7Finished
Jachym Zacharda
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012411––––
Jan Kocab
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJachym Zacharda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJachym Zacharda above · Jan Kocab below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jachym Zacharda at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Zacharda 16–13 Jan Kocab Jan Kocab has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zacharda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Zacharda
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zacharda 1634 vs Kocab 1545
Zacharda
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zacharda 0% vs Kocab 40%
Kocab
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zacharda 40% vs Kocab 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zacharda -5 · Kocab +1
Zacharda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zacharda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZacharda 1.80 / Kocab 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zacharda)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13089605
Zacharda1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 20 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Kocab1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 25 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZacharda6wins
AwayKocab4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZacharda leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZacharda66.7%4 of 6
AwayKocab50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zacharda6Kocab4n = 10Zacharda took 6 of 10
S2Zacharda4Kocab6n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S3Zacharda7Kocab3n = 10Zacharda took 7 of 10
S4Zacharda4Kocab4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZachardaKocabZ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.8−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZachardaKocabBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 249 vs 126 / 26147%48.3%117 / 249 vs 126 / 261Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZachardaZacharda 1.80/Kocab 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zacharda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 10:04J. Zacharda—91211123J. Kocab—11107101
LAug 30 · 06:55J. Zacharda—14411542J. Kocab—1211811113
WAug 25 · 11:55J. Zacharda—11811113J. Kocab—911671
WAug 24 · 10:33J. Zacharda—1111113J. Kocab—6980
WAug 24 · 09:25J. Zacharda—12116113J. Kocab—1071161
LAug 8 · 07:55J. Zacharda—6411121J. Kocab—11119143
WAug 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda—1111110113J. Kocab—71181272
LJul 15 · 12:25J. Zacharda—115981J. Kocab—71111113
LJan 2 · 16:25J. Zacharda—6880J. Kocab—1111113
WDec 6 · 18:25J. Zacharda—41112113J. Kocab—1151081
J. Zacharda10
WSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 10:55J. Zacharda2.385550M. Cerny1.531111113LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113
J. Kocab10
WSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030WSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761LSep 1 · 07:55P. Benes1.831112113J. Kocab1.8361080WSep 1 · 07:25M. Brozek2.3812117462J. Kocab1.531091111113LAug 31 · 14:15P. Benes1.7311117113J. Kocab2.00881171
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