TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095363
Played Sep 8Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11511910121311––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held David Vesecky at 58.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 16–10 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vesecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Vesecky
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1581 vs Zacharda 1629
Zacharda
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Zacharda 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 20% vs Zacharda 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -1 · Zacharda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vesecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.61 / Zacharda 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Vesecky)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13095363
Vesecky1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Zacharda2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky8wins
AwayZacharda2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVesecky leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky100%6 of 6
AwayZacharda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky6Zacharda4n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S2Vesecky5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S3Vesecky3Zacharda7n = 10Zacharda took 7 of 10
S4Vesecky7Zacharda0n = 7Vesecky took 7 of 7
S5Vesecky3Zacharda0n = 3Vesecky took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyZachardaV − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.1+4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 681 vs 118 / 25256.8%46.8%387 / 681 vs 118 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.61/Zacharda 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 13:58D. Vesecky—1117211113J. Zacharda—21911392
LSep 7 · 12:55D. Vesecky—9680J. Zacharda—1111113
LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky—91080J. Zacharda—1112113
WSep 2 · 11:55D. Vesecky—11115123J. Zacharda—8911101
WAug 12 · 10:29D. Vesecky—81113113J. Zacharda—1161191
WAug 12 · 09:25D. Vesecky—1111133J. Zacharda—65110
WAug 4 · 10:09D. Vesecky—111511113J. Zacharda—717531
WAug 4 · 09:25D. Vesecky—1111511113J. Zacharda—13611762
WJul 28 · 10:00D. Vesecky—117711113J. Zacharda—61111582
WJul 28 · 07:55D. Vesecky—11118123J. Zacharda—8811101
D. Vesecky10
LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113LSep 8 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.20118551M. Cerny1.6191111113WSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113LSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.731111113D. Vesecky2.004460LSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381
J. Zacharda10
WSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113WSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda1.8071040J. Kocab1.911112113LSep 7 · 10:55J. Zacharda2.385550M. Cerny1.531111113LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113
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