TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095129
Played Sep 8Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611117811––
Pavel Benes
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Pavel Benes below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held David Vesecky at 62.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 36–16 Pavel Benes Pavel Benes has won 16 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vesecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-16 in 52
Vesecky
Wrong
gap of 20 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1608 vs Benes 1749
Benes
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 40% vs Benes 20%
Vesecky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 30% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky +1 · Benes -4
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vesecky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.53 / Benes 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vesecky)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #13095129
Vesecky1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Benes2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 50 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky7wins
AwayBenes3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVesecky leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky85.7%6 of 7
AwayBenes66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky7Benes3n = 10Vesecky took 7 of 10
S2Vesecky7Benes3n = 10Vesecky took 7 of 10
S3Vesecky4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Vesecky3Benes2n = 5Vesecky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBenesV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.231.9+3.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 682 vs 270 / 56956.9%47.5%388 / 682 vs 270 / 569Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.53/Benes 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky—9630P. Benes—1111113
LSep 1 · 06:55D. Vesecky—71090P. Benes—1112113
WAug 31 · 12:55D. Vesecky—1111113P. Benes—9460
WAug 28 · 10:00D. Vesecky—111510123P. Benes—41312101
WAug 28 · 09:25D. Vesecky—11117153P. Benes—3611131
WAug 26 · 10:50D. Vesecky—1111113P. Benes—6570
WAug 20 · 12:50D. Vesecky—1211113P. Benes—10880
LAug 19 · 09:25D. Vesecky—116461P. Benes—41111113
WAug 18 · 14:35D. Vesecky—412117113P. Benes—111091192
WAug 18 · 11:55D. Vesecky—11139113P. Benes—7111111
D. Vesecky10
WSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171WSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111LSep 8 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.20118551M. Cerny1.6191111113WSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113LSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.731111113D. Vesecky2.004460LSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173
P. Benes10
LSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101LSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113WSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113WSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111WSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 2 · 14:25P. Benes2.6010412111M. Cerny1.45121110133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.