TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122324
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171191012114––
Filip Strejc
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Filip Strejc at 61.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 101–86 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 86 of their 187 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
101-86 in 187
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 15 in 187, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1697 vs Strejc 1665
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 0% vs Strejc 60%
Strejc
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 20% vs Strejc 40%
Strejc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -5 · Strejc +2
Vorisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.53 / Strejc 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13122324
Vorisek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Strejc2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek7wins
AwayStrejc3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%3 of 3
AwayStrejc42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek3Strejc7n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek8Strejc2n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Vorisek4Strejc6n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S4Vorisek8Strejc2n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S5Vorisek3Strejc2n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStrejcV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.840.2+3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 807 vs 210 / 46351.3%45.4%414 / 807 vs 210 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.53/Strejc 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek43111110113F. Strejc32791241
LSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek4471191162F. Strejc44112119113
WSep 6 · 16:50T. Vorisek4181111113F. Strejc34119771
WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek49681113113F. Strejc42111111182
WSep 2 · 14:55T. Vorisek47711117113F. Strejc4211741192
WAug 30 · 16:25T. Vorisek49612911113F. Strejc39111011252
WAug 28 · 18:50T. Vorisek3911611113F. Strejc35911781
WAug 27 · 14:55T. Vorisek4414118113F. Strejc381281171
LAug 26 · 20:55T. Vorisek388128101F. Strejc44111011123
LAug 23 · 10:25T. Vorisek4461551172F. Strejc521113116113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470LSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151WSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143LSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113WSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113LSep 8 · 20:55P. Silhan2.1011511153T. Vorisek1.676114131
F. Strejc10
WSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110WSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751
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