TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114155
Played Sep 11Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119611117911
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Filip Strejc at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 15–6 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-6 in 21
Strejc
Wrong
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1677 vs Kadavy 1714
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 40% vs Kadavy 60%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 30% vs Kadavy 70%
Kadavy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc +1 · Kadavy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.83 / Kadavy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strejc)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13114155
Strejc1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kadavy1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc7wins
AwayKadavy3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc75%3 of 4
AwayKadavy33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Strejc9Kadavy1n = 10Strejc took 9 of 10
S3Strejc6Kadavy4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S4Strejc5Kadavy4n = 9Strejc took 5 of 9
S5Strejc2Kadavy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcKadavyS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.6+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 464 vs 175 / 29445.7%59.5%212 / 464 vs 175 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyStrejc 1.83/Kadavy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 14:55F. Strejc—11512143O. Kadavy—81110121
LAug 21 · 18:55F. Strejc—811101162O. Kadavy—115127113
WAug 19 · 18:30F. Strejc—12111113O. Kadavy—1081141
WAug 19 · 16:55F. Strejc—51111113O. Kadavy—117651
WAug 16 · 08:55F. Strejc—911115113O. Kadavy—11861142
WAug 12 · 16:55F. Strejc—811138113O. Kadavy—119111162
LAug 8 · 22:23F. Strejc—911471O. Kadavy—11811113
LAug 8 · 19:25F. Strejc—111131142O. Kadavy—591113113
WMay 24 · 09:19F. Strejc—61211113O. Kadavy—1110881
WMay 24 · 06:50F. Strejc—1211153O. Kadavy—109130
F. Strejc10
WSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861WSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113WSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791
Upcoming Matches
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