TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114119
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711112911119611
Filip Strejc
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 58.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 100–85 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 85 of their 185 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
100-85 in 185
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 185, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1718 vs Strejc 1668
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 20% vs Strejc 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 30% vs Strejc 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -3 · Strejc -1
Vorisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.61 / Strejc 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vorisek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13114119
Vorisek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 104 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it85% 79 of 93
Strejc2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 52 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek8wins
AwayStrejc2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%3 of 3
AwayStrejc28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek3Strejc7n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek8Strejc2n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Vorisek5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek7Strejc2n = 9Vorisek took 7 of 9
S5Vorisek4Strejc1n = 5Vorisek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStrejcV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.5+3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 811 vs 212 / 46551.1%45.6%414 / 811 vs 212 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.61/Strejc 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:50T. Vorisek—81111113F. Strejc—119771
WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek—681113113F. Strejc—111111182
WSep 2 · 14:55T. Vorisek—711117113F. Strejc—11741192
WAug 30 · 16:25T. Vorisek—612911113F. Strejc—111011252
WAug 28 · 18:50T. Vorisek—11611113F. Strejc—911781
WAug 27 · 14:55T. Vorisek—14118113F. Strejc—1281171
LAug 26 · 20:55T. Vorisek—8128101F. Strejc—111011123
LAug 23 · 10:25T. Vorisek—61551172F. Strejc—1113116113
WAug 23 · 08:25T. Vorisek—411611113F. Strejc—11811982
WAug 21 · 21:25T. Vorisek—1111123F. Strejc—57100
T. Vorisek10
LSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151WSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143LSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113WSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113LSep 8 · 20:55P. Silhan2.1011511153T. Vorisek1.676114131LSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760
F. Strejc10
LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182
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