TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103312
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119116411911411
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 68.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 44–91 Jaromir Zlamal Martin Stusek has won 44 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-91 in 135
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 47 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1752 vs Zlamal 1876
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 20% vs Zlamal 80%
Zlamal
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Zlamal 70%
Zlamal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Zlamal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.63 / Zlamal 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13103312
Stusek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 86 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Zlamal1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 87 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek2wins
AwayZlamal8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZlamal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S2Stusek4Zlamal6n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S3Stusek1Zlamal9n = 10Zlamal took 9 of 10
S4Stusek2Zlamal4n = 6Zlamal took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekZlamalS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.938.2−7.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 682 vs 202 / 32846.9%61.6%320 / 682 vs 202 / 328Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalStusek 2.63/Zlamal 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek—811681J. Zlamal—11911113
WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek—111175113J. Zlamal—96111162
LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek—3850J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 19:55M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 24 · 20:55M. Stusek—102120J. Zlamal—1211143
LAug 11 · 19:55M. Stusek—115461J. Zlamal—71111113
LJul 31 · 19:20M. Stusek—1181461J. Zlamal—131112113
LJul 28 · 19:55M. Stusek—91191182J. Zlamal—115111113
WJul 23 · 22:05M. Stusek—11117113J. Zlamal—871191
M. Stusek10
LSep 9 · 18:55M. Stusek2.007760T. Vorisek1.731111113WSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113LSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek2.63811681J. Zlamal1.4411911113LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980
J. Zlamal10
LSep 9 · 19:25F. Cernota2.20124115113J. Zlamal1.61101191172WSep 8 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.601113113P. Silhan2.2071170WSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek2.63811681J. Zlamal1.4411911113WSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Stusek
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J. Zlamal
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