TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102942
Played Sep 9Finished
Filip Cernota
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210411119511117
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Cernota above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 57.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Cernota 46–56 Jaromir Zlamal Filip Cernota has won 46 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zlamal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-56 in 102
Zlamal
Wrong
gap of 10 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernota 1669 vs Zlamal 1893
Zlamal
Wrong
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernota 60% vs Zlamal 100%
Zlamal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernota 50% vs Zlamal 80%
Zlamal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernota +1 · Zlamal +5
Zlamal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernota 2.20 / Zlamal 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Zlamal)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13102942
Cernota2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 12 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Zlamal1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 87 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernota6wins
AwayZlamal4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCernota leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernota100%6 of 6
AwayZlamal100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernota6Zlamal4n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S2Cernota7Zlamal3n = 10Cernota took 7 of 10
S3Cernota5Zlamal5n = 10split evenly
S4Cernota4Zlamal3n = 7Cernota took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernotaZlamalC − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.535.7+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernotaZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 190 vs 205 / 33154.2%61.9%103 / 190 vs 205 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalCernota 2.20/Zlamal 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cernota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 22:30F. Cernota—15116113J. Zlamal—1361191
LSep 1 · 21:25F. Cernota—6990J. Zlamal—1111113
WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota—11118123J. Zlamal—8711101
LAug 17 · 20:25F. Cernota—111111792J. Zlamal—139411113
LAug 11 · 21:25F. Cernota—1291241J. Zlamal—141110113
WMay 5 · 21:58F. Cernota—1111123J. Zlamal—99100
WMay 5 · 21:25F. Cernota—111110113J. Zlamal—961241
WApr 9 · 20:25F. Cernota—1111113J. Zlamal—7770
WApr 2 · 21:25F. Cernota—11413113J. Zlamal—9111171
LMar 26 · 21:25F. Cernota—811391J. Zlamal—11411113
F. Cernota10
WSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113LSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 20:25F. Cernota1.7371111113T. Vorisek2.00115741WSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek1.9191111972F. Cernota1.80115611113LAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek1.911111129113F. Cernota1.8039141142LAug 24 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.10111313133F. Cernota1.6721115111WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101LAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek2.388101112113F. Cernota1.53111291062LAug 17 · 21:54O. Kadavy2.10101111113F. Cernota1.67125591
J. Zlamal10
WSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek2.6311114942J. Zlamal1.44961111113WSep 8 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.601113113P. Silhan2.2071170WSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek2.63811681J. Zlamal1.4411911113WSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990LAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101
Upcoming Matches
F. Cernota
Nothing scheduled
J. Zlamal
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