TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097985
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119611811––
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 68.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 44–90 Jaromir Zlamal Martin Stusek has won 44 of their 134 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-90 in 134
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 46 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1776 vs Zlamal 1874
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 60% vs Zlamal 100%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 60% vs Zlamal 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -2 · Zlamal +5
Zlamal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.63 / Zlamal 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13097985
Stusek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Zlamal1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 83 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it98% 47 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek2wins
AwayZlamal8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZlamal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S2Stusek4Zlamal6n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S3Stusek1Zlamal9n = 10Zlamal took 9 of 10
S4Stusek3Zlamal3n = 6split evenly
S5Stusek1Zlamal2n = 3Zlamal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekZlamalS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.538.6−6.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 679 vs 203 / 32947%61.7%319 / 679 vs 203 / 329Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalStusek 2.63/Zlamal 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek—111175113J. Zlamal—96111162
LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek—3850J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 19:55M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 24 · 20:55M. Stusek—102120J. Zlamal—1211143
LAug 11 · 19:55M. Stusek—115461J. Zlamal—71111113
LJul 31 · 19:20M. Stusek—1181461J. Zlamal—131112113
LJul 28 · 19:55M. Stusek—91191182J. Zlamal—115111113
WJul 23 · 22:05M. Stusek—11117113J. Zlamal—871191
LJul 23 · 20:25M. Stusek—91191192J. Zlamal—116117113
M. Stusek10
WSep 8 · 22:00T. Vorisek6.00731161M. Stusek1.1111116113LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113
J. Zlamal10
WSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100
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