TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134524
Played Sep 15Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119711911811
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 73.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 0–2 Jaromir Zlamal Ondrej Kadavy has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1743 vs Zlamal 1873
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 60% vs Zlamal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 40% vs Zlamal 80%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +1 · Zlamal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 3.25 / Zlamal 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Zlamal)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13134524
Kadavy3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Zlamal1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKadavy0wins
AwayZlamal2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZlamal leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKadavyZlamalK − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.541.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 305 vs 204 / 33159%61.6%180 / 305 vs 204 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalKadavy 3.25/Zlamal 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 17 · 20:55O. Kadavy44105111172J. Zlamal49121196113
LJul 28 · 19:25O. Kadavy216870J. Zlamal331111113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113WSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113WSep 15 · 18:25O. Kadavy1.531117113L. Soucek2.3841590LSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113LSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740
J. Zlamal10
WSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek2.638590J. Zlamal1.441111113WSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.441111113M. Stusek2.639590LSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143WSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek2.6311114942J. Zlamal1.44961111113LSep 9 · 19:25F. Cernota2.20124115113J. Zlamal1.61101191172WSep 8 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.601113113P. Silhan2.2071170WSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek2.63811681J. Zlamal1.4411911113WSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920
Upcoming Matches
O. Kadavy
Nothing scheduled
J. Zlamal
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.