TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129253
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811511111––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 62 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 61.6%
62 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 21–19 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kadavy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Kadavy
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1683 vs Zacharda 1648
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 40% vs Zacharda 80%
Zacharda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 40% vs Zacharda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy -3 · Zacharda +2
Kadavy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.44 / Zacharda 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kadavy)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13129253
Kadavy1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 72 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Zacharda2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 20 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy5wins
AwayZacharda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy80%4 of 5
AwayZacharda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S2Kadavy7Zacharda3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S3Kadavy3Zacharda7n = 10Zacharda took 7 of 10
S4Kadavy5Zacharda2n = 7Kadavy took 5 of 7
S5Kadavy1Zacharda2n = 3Zacharda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyZachardaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.7+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 299 vs 123 / 26258.9%47%176 / 299 vs 123 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.44/Zacharda 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy25118511J. Zacharda3741111113
WSep 11 · 11:20O. Kadavy331111113J. Zacharda165830
WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy46116711113J. Zacharda3411111292
LApr 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy4561191182J. Zacharda49117119113
WApr 10 · 14:55O. Kadavy3741111113J. Zacharda26114651
LJan 4 · 19:00O. Kadavy2610880J. Zacharda331211103
WJan 4 · 18:25O. Kadavy391111983J. Zacharda29851151
WDec 12 · 15:55O. Kadavy331111113J. Zacharda175570
LNov 28 · 19:40O. Kadavy33812491J. Zacharda43111011113
LNov 28 · 15:55O. Kadavy4861391192J. Zacharda531111119113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740LSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861WSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113WSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492
J. Zacharda10
LSep 14 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.36111115113J. Zacharda3.00781781WSep 14 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.63131311123M. Cerny1.4411154101WSep 13 · 22:30M. Cerny1.40951181J. Zacharda2.7511118113LSep 13 · 21:25M. Cerny1.401111113J. Zacharda2.758330WSep 13 · 20:25J. Zacharda3.2581111123D. Bochnak1.331166101WSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120LSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113LSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113WSep 11 · 10:20J. Zacharda2.75111196123M. Cerny1.40881111102
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.