TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129112
Played Sep 14Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171181517118––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:01 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 88 set 4, 11-8 — our read held David Bochnak at 72.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 52–30 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 30 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-30 in 82
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 22 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bochnak 1830 vs Zacharda 1633
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bochnak 60% vs Zacharda 80%
Zacharda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bochnak 60% vs Zacharda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bochnak -1 · Zacharda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.36 / Zacharda 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Bochnak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13129112
Bochnak1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 126 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 96 of 120
Zacharda3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 20 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBochnak7wins
AwayZacharda3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak83.3%5 of 6
AwayZacharda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak6Zacharda4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S2Bochnak5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S3Bochnak5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S4Bochnak6Zacharda3n = 9Bochnak took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBochnakZachardaB − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.1+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 590 vs 122 / 26162.2%46.7%367 / 590 vs 122 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.36/Zacharda 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:25D. Bochnak331166101J. Zacharda4281111123
WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak52991111123J. Zacharda45111194102
WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak511410511113J. Zacharda47121211572
LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak401491161J. Zacharda4216114113
WSep 3 · 21:25D. Bochnak4212811113J. Zacharda381011981
WAug 30 · 08:25D. Bochnak331111113J. Zacharda163760
WJul 16 · 16:55D. Bochnak3913114113J. Zacharda321141161
LApr 17 · 16:55D. Bochnak34911681J. Zacharda3911611113
WApr 10 · 16:55D. Bochnak4111118113J. Zacharda35961191
WApr 6 · 17:25D. Bochnak4181111113J. Zacharda25112751
D. Bochnak10
LSep 14 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.67111212592M. Cerny2.108101411113WSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740WSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060WSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113LSep 13 · 20:25J. Zacharda3.2581111123D. Bochnak1.331166101LSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak1.735122131M. Cerny2.00111011153WSep 13 · 10:00M. Cerny2.10111130112D. Bochnak1.67341111133LSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672WSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113
J. Zacharda10
WSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113WSep 14 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.63131311123M. Cerny1.4411154101WSep 13 · 22:30M. Cerny1.40951181J. Zacharda2.7511118113LSep 13 · 21:25M. Cerny1.401111113J. Zacharda2.758330WSep 13 · 20:25J. Zacharda3.2581111123D. Bochnak1.331166101WSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120LSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113LSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113WSep 11 · 10:20J. Zacharda2.75111196123M. Cerny1.40881111102
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