TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122605
Played Sep 13Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113411115114––
Daniel Hyza
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:14 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 60 set 4, 11-4 — our read held David Bochnak at 66.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 6–0 Daniel Hyza Daniel Hyza has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bochnak 1862 vs Hyza 1652
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bochnak 80% vs Hyza 20%
Bochnak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bochnak 70% vs Hyza 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bochnak +4 · Hyza -1
Bochnak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bochnak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.50 / Hyza 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Bochnak)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13122605
Bochnak1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 121 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 92 of 115
Hyza2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBochnak6wins
AwayHyza0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBochnak leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak100%4 of 4
AwayHyzan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak4Hyza2n = 6Bochnak took 4 of 6
S2Bochnak5Hyza1n = 6Bochnak took 5 of 6
S3Bochnak4Hyza2n = 6Bochnak took 4 of 6
S4Bochnak3Hyza2n = 5Bochnak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricBochnakHyzaB − HBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match42.334.5+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 585 vs 234 / 41262.4%56.8%365 / 585 vs 234 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.50/Hyza 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WFeb 18 · 21:25D. Bochnak3961111113D. Hyza28114671
WJan 19 · 20:55D. Bochnak331111113D. Hyza238870
WJan 14 · 20:55D. Bochnak49116119123D. Hyza46811611102
WDec 28 · 16:25D. Bochnak51911118123D. Hyza43117411102
WNov 20 · 22:25D. Bochnak4311129113D. Hyza388101191
WMay 9 · 16:25D. Bochnak3911116113D. Hyza29671151
D. Bochnak10
WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113WSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101WSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532LSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102
D. Hyza10
WSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113
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