TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123095
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911911311––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 7–6 Daniel Hyza Daniel Hyza has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 02:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kocab
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocab 1602 vs Hyza 1646
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocab 40% vs Hyza 20%
Kocab
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocab 50% vs Hyza 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocab -3 · Hyza -2
Kocab
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hyza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.80 / Hyza 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocab)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13123095
Kocab1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 50 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Hyza1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab5wins
AwayHyza5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab100%4 of 4
AwayHyza83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab4Hyza6n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S2Kocab5Hyza5n = 10split evenly
S3Kocab6Hyza4n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S4Kocab5Hyza3n = 8Kocab took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabHyzaK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.534.4−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 270 vs 234 / 41348.2%56.7%130 / 270 vs 234 / 413Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.80/Hyza 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 12:25J. Kocab4011117113D. Hyza34591191
WJul 10 · 12:25J. Kocab4211119113D. Hyza25811151
WJun 19 · 11:55J. Kocab331111113D. Hyza208480
LJun 17 · 09:25J. Kocab19301151D. Hyza3811115113
LJun 10 · 10:35J. Kocab29691131D. Hyza4211119113
LJun 10 · 09:25J. Kocab4171131192D. Hyza44114117113
WJun 7 · 14:55J. Kocab45111112113D. Hyza331331071
WJun 2 · 10:05J. Kocab4211614113D. Hyza324111251
LJun 2 · 07:55J. Kocab177550D. Hyza331111113
LJan 7 · 19:40J. Kocab27361261D. Hyza43111110113
J. Kocab10
LSep 13 · 07:20J. Kocab3.508790M. Cerny1.281111113LSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113LSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113WSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113WSep 11 · 11:50M. Cerny1.281169131J. Kocab3.5091111153WSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492LSep 7 · 14:30M. Cerny1.301112113J. Kocab3.1581090LSep 7 · 13:25J. Kocab3.0010680M. Cerny1.361211113WSep 7 · 11:55J. Zacharda1.8071040J. Kocab1.911112113WSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113
D. Hyza10
LSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113
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