Martin Cerny vs David Bochnak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13124356

Played Sep 13Finished

Martin Cerny

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1131143110111113

David Bochnak

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

How it is goingMartin Cerny above · David Bochnak below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 0-11

Set 5 · 11-13

Point 78 set 5, 11-13

78 points played in total.

H2H Martin Cerny 58–65 David Bochnak Martin Cerny has won 58 of their 123 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bochnak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bochnak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCerny 2.10 / Bochnak 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Bochnak)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13124356

Cerny2.10

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog40% won 42 of 104

Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34

Bochnak1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite61% won 121 of 197

Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64

Up 1–0, closes it80% 92 of 115

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeCerny6wins

AwayBochnak4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCerny83.3%5 of 6

AwayBochnak75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cerny6Bochnak4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S2Cerny7Bochnak3n = 10Cerny took 7 of 10

S3Cerny6Bochnak4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S4Cerny4Bochnak4n = 8split evenly

S5Cerny2Bochnak3n = 5Bochnak took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricCernyBochnakC − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.4+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCernyBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 835 vs 366 / 58657.6%62.5%481 / 835 vs 366 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bochnak

Cerny 2.10/Bochnak 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Bochnak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Bochnak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny45114811113D. Bochnak4161111672

WSep 6 · 09:25M. Cerny331111113D. Bochnak199640

WSep 4 · 19:55M. Cerny475111110103D. Bochnak4911991282

LSep 3 · 18:55M. Cerny4412761182D. Bochnak451011112113

WAug 30 · 10:33M. Cerny331111113D. Bochnak203890

WAug 30 · 07:25M. Cerny3711114113D. Bochnak36991171

LAug 28 · 10:30M. Cerny4591211672D. Bochnak521110911113

LAug 28 · 08:55M. Cerny46101111682D. Bochnak47128511113

LAug 27 · 10:35M. Cerny31611681D. Bochnak4111811113

WAug 27 · 07:25M. Cerny4211911113D. Bochnak34511991

M. Cerny10

WSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672 WSep 13 · 07:20J. Kocab3.508790M. Cerny1.281111113 WSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113 WSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120 WSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113 LSep 11 · 11:50M. Cerny1.281169131J. Kocab3.5091111153 LSep 11 · 10:20J. Zacharda2.75111196123M. Cerny1.40881111102 WSep 8 · 14:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.808480 WSep 8 · 13:25J. Zacharda2.6310270M. Cerny1.441211113 WSep 8 · 12:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.755530

D. Bochnak10

LSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672 WSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541 WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113 WSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101 WSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113 WSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532 LSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100 WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113 LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113 WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173

Upcoming Matches

M. Cerny1 of 1 neutral

Sep 13 · 19:25M. Cerny—D. Bochnak——

D. Bochnak1 of 1 neutral

Sep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak—M. Cerny——

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