TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124207
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210118511611511
Jachym Zacharda
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJachym Zacharda to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jachym Zacharda at 54.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 2–7 Jachym Zacharda Marek Kulisek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zacharda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Zacharda
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1690 vs Zacharda 1578
Kulisek
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 60% vs Zacharda 20%
Kulisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 40% vs Zacharda 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek -1 · Zacharda -3
Zacharda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zacharda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.10 / Zacharda 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zacharda)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13124207
Kulisek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back24% 38 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Zacharda1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 19 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKulisek2wins
AwayZacharda7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZacharda leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek40%2 of 5
AwayZacharda100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek5Zacharda4n = 9Kulisek took 5 of 9
S2Kulisek3Zacharda6n = 9Zacharda took 6 of 9
S3Kulisek3Zacharda6n = 9Zacharda took 6 of 9
S4Kulisek3Zacharda5n = 8Zacharda took 5 of 8
S5Kulisek1Zacharda2n = 3Zacharda took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKulisekZachardaK − ZBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match34.840.1−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 876 vs 120 / 26044.8%46.2%392 / 876 vs 120 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZachardaKulisek 2.10/Zacharda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Zacharda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek219570J. Zacharda331111113
WAug 8 · 08:55M. Kulisek4212811113J. Zacharda351011681
LApr 5 · 20:55M. Kulisek4611811792J. Zacharda51911911113
LMar 22 · 08:55M. Kulisek27117721J. Zacharda307111113
LJan 8 · 23:40M. Kulisek27511651J. Zacharda4111811113
WJan 8 · 20:25M. Kulisek43111146113J. Zacharda4587111182
LNov 12 · 23:00M. Kulisek341110761J. Zacharda4061211113
LNov 12 · 21:55M. Kulisek355911101J. Zacharda4111117123
LOct 22 · 21:25M. Kulisek3851161152J. Zacharda45115117113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113WSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113WSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532LSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133
J. Zacharda10
LSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120LSep 11 · 12:20J. Zacharda1.733850J. Kocab2.001111113LSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113WSep 11 · 10:20J. Zacharda2.75111196123M. Cerny1.40881111102LSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 13:25J. Zacharda2.6310270M. Cerny1.441211113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111WSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113WSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680
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