TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102717
Played Sep 9Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411118116115––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:57 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Michal Brozek at 55.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 77–91 Michal Brozek Marek Kulisek has won 77 of their 168 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-91 in 168
Brozek
Wrong
gap of 14 in 168, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1678 vs Brozek 1725
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 60% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Brozek 70%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +2 · Brozek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.10 / Brozek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Brozek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13102717
Kulisek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 116 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back24% 40 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Brozek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek8wins
AwayBrozek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek83.3%5 of 6
AwayBrozek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek6Brozek4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S2Kulisek4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Kulisek6Brozek4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S4Kulisek6Brozek4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S5Kulisek4Brozek0n = 4Kulisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekBrozekK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.240.5+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 874 vs 539 / 103244.7%52.2%391 / 874 vs 539 / 1032Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekKulisek 2.10/Brozek 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:35M. Kulisek—141011113M. Brozek—1212881
WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek—17101111113M. Brozek—19126672
LSep 2 · 20:50M. Kulisek—451131M. Brozek—11118113
WAug 30 · 21:58M. Kulisek—1011711113M. Brozek—12811872
WAug 30 · 18:55M. Kulisek—116128113M. Brozek—211101182
WAug 29 · 19:55M. Kulisek—41113113M. Brozek—1191161
WAug 27 · 22:25M. Kulisek—1151210113M. Brozek—711101292
WAug 27 · 21:25M. Kulisek—11116113M. Brozek—461171
WAug 23 · 21:25M. Kulisek—111110113M. Brozek—571241
LAug 20 · 15:25M. Kulisek—139851M. Brozek—111111113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113WSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113WSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532LSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113
M. Brozek10
WSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070WSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113
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