TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13128074
Played Sep 14Finished
David Bochnak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117114––––
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:00 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 55.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 35–67 Ondrej Kadavy David Bochnak has won 35 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kadavy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-67 in 102
Kadavy
Wrong
gap of 32 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bochnak 1830 vs Kadavy 1707
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bochnak 60% vs Kadavy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bochnak 70% vs Kadavy 50%
Bochnak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bochnak +2 · Kadavy -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 2.10 / Kadavy 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kadavy)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13128074
Bochnak2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 17 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Kadavy1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 72 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBochnak2wins
AwayKadavy8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak28.6%2 of 7
AwayKadavy100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak7Kadavy3n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S2Bochnak4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S3Bochnak2Kadavy8n = 10Kadavy took 8 of 10
S4Bochnak1Kadavy7n = 8Kadavy took 7 of 8
S5Bochnak1Kadavy2n = 3Kadavy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBochnakKadavyB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.641.0−6.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 588 vs 176 / 29762.2%59.3%366 / 588 vs 176 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyBochnak 2.10/Kadavy 1.67
Miss
What we said
54%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak24611611O. Kadavy4111811113
LSep 1 · 18:08D. Bochnak36119791O. Kadavy4181111113
LSep 1 · 16:55D. Bochnak381189101O. Kadavy4391111123
LJul 14 · 16:25D. Bochnak49115615122O. Kadavy512111113143
LJul 12 · 14:55D. Bochnak18411031O. Kadavy4211911113
LJul 10 · 21:25D. Bochnak4611712882O. Kadavy496111011113
LJul 8 · 17:59D. Bochnak331151161O. Kadavy4161113113
WJul 8 · 16:25D. Bochnak401118113O. Kadavy3271690
LJul 5 · 14:30D. Bochnak218940O. Kadavy331111113
WJul 5 · 10:55D. Bochnak41111126113O. Kadavy3743111182
D. Bochnak10
WSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060WSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113LSep 13 · 20:25J. Zacharda3.2581111123D. Bochnak1.331166101LSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak1.735122131M. Cerny2.00111011153WSep 13 · 10:00M. Cerny2.10111130112D. Bochnak1.67341111133LSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672WSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113WSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101WSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861WSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113LSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113WSep 11 · 11:20J. Zacharda2.635830O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 11 · 10:50J. Kocab3.40115811113O. Kadavy1.3051111492LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.