TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125060
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711211––––
David Bochnak
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 48 set 3, 2-11 — our read held David Bochnak at 84.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 11–55 David Bochnak Marek Kulisek has won 11 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-55 in 66
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 44 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1703 vs Bochnak 1831
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 60% vs Bochnak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Bochnak 70%
Bochnak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +1 · Bochnak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 4.33 / Bochnak 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Bochnak)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13125060
Kulisek4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back24% 38 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Bochnak1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 121 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 92 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek1wins
AwayBochnak9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek0%0 of 4
AwayBochnak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek4Bochnak6n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S2Kulisek1Bochnak9n = 10Bochnak took 9 of 10
S3Kulisek2Bochnak8n = 10Bochnak took 8 of 10
S4Kulisek2Bochnak4n = 6Bochnak took 4 of 6
S5Kulisek1Bochnak2n = 3Bochnak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekBochnakK − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.4−7.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 878 vs 367 / 58944.8%62.3%393 / 878 vs 367 / 589Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakKulisek 4.33/Bochnak 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:25M. Kulisek4911911992D. Bochnak46611711113
LAug 29 · 22:25M. Kulisek331236121D. Bochnak46101111143
LAug 29 · 19:25M. Kulisek204880D. Bochnak331111113
LAug 20 · 22:30M. Kulisek218760D. Bochnak331111113
WAug 20 · 20:25M. Kulisek46411911113D. Bochnak4211611592
LAug 7 · 16:55M. Kulisek32781251D. Bochnak43111110113
LAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek32117771D. Bochnak4181111113
LAug 1 · 10:28M. Kulisek2311930D. Bochnak351311113
LAug 1 · 08:55M. Kulisek164480D. Bochnak331111113
LJul 29 · 15:25M. Kulisek4411791162D. Bochnak42511114113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542LSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113WSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113WSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532
D. Bochnak10
WSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060LSep 13 · 20:25J. Zacharda3.2581111123D. Bochnak1.331166101LSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak1.735122131M. Cerny2.00111011153WSep 13 · 10:00M. Cerny2.10111130112D. Bochnak1.67341111133LSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672WSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113WSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101WSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532
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