TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134526
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1159118111191210
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kadavy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Soucek 1551 vs Kadavy 1740
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soucek 60% vs Kadavy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soucek 30% vs Kadavy 50%
Kadavy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soucek +1 · Kadavy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 2.20 / Kadavy 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kadavy)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134526
Soucek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 4 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Kadavy1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 73 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 168 vs 179 / 30345.8%59.1%77 / 168 vs 179 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavySoucek 2.20/Kadavy 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Soucek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Soucek10
WSep 15 · 15:55L. Soucek1.911114113T. Flicek1.8041280LSep 15 · 14:55L. Soucek2.201111881F. Strejc1.6191311113WSep 13 · 10:29T. Vorisek1.531251191L. Soucek2.3814115113LSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113LSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113LSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740LSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861
Upcoming Matches
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
O. Kadavy
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