TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124452
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214511115911––
Lukas Soucek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Lukas Soucek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 28–19 Lukas Soucek Lukas Soucek has won 19 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vorisek beat Soucek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.53 / Soucek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13124452
Vorisek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Soucek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek8wins
AwaySoucek2wins
Vorisek leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek85.7%6 of 7
AwaySoucek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek7Soucek3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek9Soucek1n = 10Vorisek took 9 of 10
S3Vorisek5Soucek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek5Soucek2n = 7Vorisek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekSoucekV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.129.2+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekSoucekBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 807 vs 75 / 16551.3%45.5%414 / 807 vs 75 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.53/Soucek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Soucek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek4011117113L. Soucek27541171
WAug 30 · 16:55T. Vorisek4112117113L. Soucek311041161
WAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek3851111113L. Soucek31116771
WApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek331111113L. Soucek141940
WMar 18 · 18:25T. Vorisek331111113L. Soucek165650
WMar 12 · 19:30T. Vorisek46111113113L. Soucek38691581
WMar 12 · 15:55T. Vorisek331111113L. Soucek229580
WMar 4 · 17:55T. Vorisek3741111113L. Soucek28115841
LMar 1 · 15:45T. Vorisek36129691L. Soucek43101111113
LMar 1 · 13:25T. Vorisek34811781L. Soucek4211911113
T. Vorisek10
WSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 07:55T. Vorisek1.6712611143M. Stusek2.1010118121WSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241LSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470LSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151WSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143LSep 9 · 20:25T. Vorisek2.0061180F. Cernota1.731113113
L. Soucek10
LSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113LSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113
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