TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123060
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711117311––
Lukas Soucek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Lukas Soucek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 67 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Filip Strejc at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 20–17 Lukas Soucek Lukas Soucek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:25What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Strejc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Strejc
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1665 vs Soucek 1503
Strejc
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 60% vs Soucek 0%
Strejc
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 40% vs Soucek 10%
Strejc
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -1 · Soucek -5
Soucek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Strejc) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.61 / Soucek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Strejc)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13123060
Strejc1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite41% won 18 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Soucek2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc4wins
AwaySoucek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSoucek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc100%3 of 3
AwaySoucek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc3Soucek7n = 10Soucek took 7 of 10
S2Strejc6Soucek4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S3Strejc7Soucek3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S4Strejc3Soucek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcSoucekStrejc − SoucekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.0−0.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcSoucekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 463 vs 74 / 16345.4%45.4%210 / 463 vs 74 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcStrejc 1.61/Soucek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Soucek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc351111133L. Soucek2375110
WAug 30 · 14:55F. Strejc331111113L. Soucek207490
WAug 27 · 18:10F. Strejc331111113L. Soucek175930
LAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc54913151162L. Soucek581115138113
WApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc50161211113L. Soucek451810981
LApr 2 · 14:55F. Strejc361111681L. Soucek4113611113
LMar 14 · 09:55F. Strejc2665150L. Soucek391111173
LMar 1 · 12:25F. Strejc321012551L. Soucek44121011113
LFeb 25 · 19:30F. Strejc4110111191L. Soucek4512139113
LFeb 25 · 17:25F. Strejc3785111122L. Soucek48111187113
F. Strejc10
LSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241WSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110WSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980
L. Soucek10
LSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171LSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113
Upcoming Matches
F. Strejc
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
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