TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134412
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141412118––––
Tomas Flicek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Flicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Flicek at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Soucek 13–15 Tomas Flicek Lukas Soucek has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Flicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Flicek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Soucek 1535 vs Flicek 1573
Flicek
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soucek 40% vs Flicek 0%
Soucek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soucek 20% vs Flicek 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Soucek -1 · Flicek -5
Flicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Flicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 1.91 / Flicek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Flicek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13134412
Soucek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 4 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Flicek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSoucek6wins
AwayFlicek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSoucek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSoucek100%4 of 4
AwayFlicek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soucek4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10
S2Soucek3Flicek7n = 10Flicek took 7 of 10
S3Soucek8Flicek2n = 10Soucek took 8 of 10
S4Soucek4Flicek4n = 8split evenly
S5Soucek3Flicek1n = 4Soucek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoucekFlicekS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.038.5+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 167 vs 60 / 12845.5%46.9%76 / 167 vs 60 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FlicekSoucek 1.91/Flicek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Flicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Soucek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek50710111482T. Flicek511112512113
LMar 18 · 16:55L. Soucek4210131181T. Flicek4612158113
WMar 12 · 16:55L. Soucek4071111113T. Flicek26113481
LMar 4 · 17:25L. Soucek196940T. Flicek331111113
WFeb 25 · 16:25L. Soucek331111113T. Flicek152670
LFeb 19 · 16:55L. Soucek351061181T. Flicek4212118113
WFeb 4 · 15:55L. Soucek4513912113T. Flicek3811111061
WJan 28 · 19:40L. Soucek47116118113T. Flicek4291131182
WJan 28 · 16:55L. Soucek548111112123T. Flicek46115614102
WJan 22 · 16:55L. Soucek55119911153T. Flicek46311118132
L. Soucek10
LSep 15 · 14:55L. Soucek2.201111881F. Strejc1.6191311113WSep 13 · 10:29T. Vorisek1.531251191L. Soucek2.3814115113LSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113LSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113
T. Flicek10
LSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582
Upcoming Matches
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
T. Flicek
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