Vit Benak vs Tomas Flicek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13094254

Played Sep 7Finished

Vit Benak

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

91161112101151311

Tomas Flicek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingVit Benak above · Tomas Flicek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 99 set 5, 13-11

99 points played in total.

H2H Vit Benak 7–5 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Benak beat Flicek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Flicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBenak 1.83 / Flicek 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Benak)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13094254

Benak1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Flicek1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBenak6wins

AwayFlicek4wins

6 of 10 to a deciderBenak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBenak50%4 of 8

AwayFlicekn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Benak8Flicek2n = 10Benak took 8 of 10

S2Benak4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10

S3Benak6Flicek4n = 10Benak took 6 of 10

S4Benak4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10

S5Benak3Flicek3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricBenakFlicekB − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.2−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBenakFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 139 vs 60 / 12655.4%47.6%77 / 139 vs 60 / 126Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Benak

Benak 1.83/Flicek 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Benak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Benak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak—111411123T. Flicek—7165101

LDec 11 · 19:40V. Benak—11713972T. Flicek—7111111103

LDec 11 · 16:25V. Benak—111222102T. Flicek—7101111123

WNov 27 · 19:10V. Benak—11611113T. Flicek—611441

WNov 27 · 17:55V. Benak—611611103T. Flicek—11611982

LNov 13 · 19:35V. Benak—112571T. Flicek—71111113

WNov 13 · 16:55V. Benak—11116113T. Flicek—981141

WOct 22 · 18:30V. Benak—117118113T. Flicek—91161182

WOct 22 · 15:55V. Benak—312116113T. Flicek—111061192

LOct 15 · 15:25V. Benak—113119112T. Flicek—511911133

V. Benak10

WSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101 LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113 LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113 LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561 WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113 LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113 WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123 LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102 LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102 WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892

T. Flicek10

LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101 LSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780 LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113 LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113 WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113 LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251 LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113 LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582 WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek1.838121011113F. Strejc1.83111012882 LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870

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