TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134123
Played Sep 15Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111210115––
Tomas Flicek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 62.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 2–1 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1712 vs Flicek 1589
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 20% vs Flicek 0%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 40% vs Flicek 20%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy -1 · Flicek -5
Flicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.53 / Flicek 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kadavy)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13134123
Kadavy1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 73 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Flicek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKadavy2wins
AwayFlicek1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKadavy leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy66.7%2 of 3
AwayFlicekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy3Flicek0n = 3Kadavy took 3 of 3
S2Kadavy1Flicek2n = 3Flicek took 2 of 3
S3Kadavy1Flicek2n = 3Flicek took 2 of 3
S4Kadavy2Flicek1n = 3Kadavy took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKadavyFlicekK − FBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match44.739.3+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 301 vs 60 / 12758.8%47.2%177 / 301 vs 60 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.53/Flicek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 19 · 15:25O. Kadavy42111145113T. Flicek3464111122
WDec 18 · 18:55O. Kadavy43111011113T. Flicek35712971
LDec 18 · 17:55O. Kadavy49111181182T. Flicek49713117113
O. Kadavy10
WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113LSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740LSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861WSep 11 · 14:00J. Kocab2.6061181172O. Kadavy1.45119119113
T. Flicek10
LSep 15 · 15:55L. Soucek1.911114113T. Flicek1.8041280LSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582
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