TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134525
Played Sep 15Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012811––––
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Filip Strejc at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 16–7 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strejc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Strejc
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1685 vs Kadavy 1727
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 40% vs Kadavy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 50% vs Kadavy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc +1 · Kadavy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strejc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.80 / Kadavy 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strejc)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13134525
Strejc1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite40% won 18 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Kadavy1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc6wins
AwayKadavy4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc75%3 of 4
AwayKadavy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Strejc9Kadavy1n = 10Strejc took 9 of 10
S3Strejc5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S4Strejc5Kadavy4n = 9Strejc took 5 of 9
S5Strejc2Kadavy3n = 5Kadavy took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcKadavyS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.940.4+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 464 vs 178 / 30245.5%58.9%211 / 464 vs 178 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcStrejc 1.80/Kadavy 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc351111133O. Kadavy2889110
LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc4471161192O. Kadavy49119117113
WSep 1 · 14:55F. Strejc4211512143O. Kadavy4181110121
LAug 21 · 18:55F. Strejc46811101162O. Kadavy46115127113
WAug 19 · 18:30F. Strejc3512111113O. Kadavy331081141
WAug 19 · 16:55F. Strejc3851111113O. Kadavy29117651
WAug 16 · 08:55F. Strejc47911115113O. Kadavy4011861142
WAug 12 · 16:55F. Strejc51811138113O. Kadavy48119111162
LAug 8 · 22:23F. Strejc31911471O. Kadavy4111811113
LAug 8 · 19:25F. Strejc40111131142O. Kadavy49591113113
F. Strejc10
WSep 15 · 17:25T. Flicek1.83771141F. Strejc1.8311113113WSep 15 · 14:55L. Soucek2.201111881F. Strejc1.6191311113LSep 13 · 10:04M. Stusek1.6711411133F. Strejc2.109116111WSep 13 · 09:25M. Stusek1.73117781F. Strejc2.0091111113LSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113LSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241WSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110WSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 18:55M. Stusek1.7314461272F. Strejc2.0012111110113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113LSep 14 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.101211113O. Kadavy1.6710740LSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110LSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek1.831131111113O. Kadavy1.8313116682WSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861
Upcoming Matches
F. Strejc
Nothing scheduled
O. Kadavy
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