TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134363
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
41112101113117811
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 56.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 30–19 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 19 of their 49 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-19 in 49
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1671 vs Kadavy 1750
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Kadavy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 30% vs Kadavy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -2 · Kadavy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.67 / Kadavy 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13134363
Vorisek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it87% 73 of 84
Kadavy2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek7wins
AwayKadavy3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%5 of 5
AwayKadavy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorisek7Kadavy3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S3Vorisek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek5Kadavy3n = 8Vorisek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekKadavyV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.2+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 808 vs 180 / 30651.1%58.8%413 / 808 vs 180 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.67/Kadavy 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 19:25T. Vorisek32711861O. Kadavy4011711113
WAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek48121186113O. Kadavy45108111152
WAug 21 · 19:55T. Vorisek48111114123O. Kadavy398516101
LAug 19 · 16:25T. Vorisek2248100O. Kadavy341111123
WAug 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek3961111113O. Kadavy31115871
WAug 16 · 09:54T. Vorisek3812411113O. Kadavy371011971
WAug 16 · 08:25T. Vorisek331111113O. Kadavy237970
WAug 14 · 18:55T. Vorisek45101113113O. Kadavy301251121
WAug 12 · 16:25T. Vorisek4312119113O. Kadavy301051141
LAug 4 · 18:08T. Vorisek387111191O. Kadavy4311138113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 15 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.209860LSep 13 · 10:29T. Vorisek1.531251191L. Soucek2.3814115113WSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 07:55T. Vorisek1.6712611143M. Stusek2.1010118121WSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241LSep 11 · 22:03M. Stusek2.001116113T. Vorisek1.7391470LSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 19:55M. Stusek1.83118116113T. Vorisek1.8361141182LSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861LSep 9 · 22:30F. Cernota1.6711129113T. Vorisek2.108101151
O. Kadavy10
WSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113LSep 15 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.2511117982J. Zlamal1.33991111113WSep 15 · 18:25O. Kadavy1.531117113L. Soucek2.3841590LSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113WSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 14 · 22:15O. Kadavy1.309711101M. Cerny3.4011119123WSep 14 · 21:25M. Cerny3.506180O. Kadavy1.281111113LSep 14 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.44118511J. Zacharda2.6341111113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Kadavy2.1011711113T. Vorisek1.67711861
Upcoming Matches
T. Vorisek
Nothing scheduled
O. Kadavy
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