Mariusz Koczyba vs Pawel Polok 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140623

Played Sep 17Finished

Mariusz Koczyba

Home

1.93

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1012811711––––

Pawel Polok

Away

1.72

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%

Graded at full time

Pawel Polok to win

55.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

59 points played in total.

Set by set

1012811711––––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:52

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.72 (53%)

Polok

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Koczyba 1470 vs Polok 1520

Polok

Correct

both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Koczyba 80% vs Polok 60%

Koczyba

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Koczyba 80% vs Polok 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Koczyba +4 · Polok +2

Koczyba

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Koczyba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKoczyba 1.93 / Polok 1.72

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Polok)+1.1pp

TT Elite Series · #13140623

Koczyba1.93

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 25 of 62

Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 40

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25

Polok1.72

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite67% won 82 of 123

Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47

Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKoczybaPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime861 / 1316 vs 121 / 18565.4%65.4%861 / 1316 vs 121 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Polok

Koczyba 1.93/Polok 1.72

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Polok · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Polok won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Koczyba10