Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147402

Starts Sep 18, 02:00 AMScheduled

Mariusz Koczyba

Home

1.29

At publish

Won last 3

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

3 – 3

All 6 meetings · 50.0%

Last 6 · 3–3

Grzegorz Jurowicz

Away

3.05

At publish

Lost last 2

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Mariusz Koczyba arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 7h before this match

Koczyba beat Jurowicz 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKoczyba 1.29 / Jurowicz 3.05

TT Elite Series · #13147402

Koczyba1.29

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 323 of 491

Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178

Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284

Jurowicz3.05

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog36% won 93 of 256

Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeKoczyba3wins

AwayJurowicz3wins

2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKoczyba66.7%2 of 3

AwayJurowicz66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Koczyba3Jurowicz3n = 6split evenly

S2Koczyba4Jurowicz2n = 6Koczyba took 4 of 6

S3Koczyba4Jurowicz2n = 6Koczyba took 4 of 6

S4Koczyba2Jurowicz1n = 3Koczyba took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home233%

3–1Four sets, home117%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away233%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away117%

These 6 meetings

MetricKoczybaJurowiczK − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.232.2+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKoczybaJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime860 / 1316 vs 309 / 78565.4%39.4%860 / 1316 vs 309 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

WSep 17 · 19:10M. Koczyba341112113G. Jurowicz1751020

LSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba41111051142G. Jurowicz46412118113

WSep 15 · 17:20M. Koczyba341112113G. Jurowicz2371060

LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba4151111952G. Jurowicz43117311113

LSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba2413560G. Jurowicz371511113

WDec 24 · 01:45M. Koczyba3741111113G. Jurowicz27113491

M. Koczyba10

WSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113 WSep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.851111123P. Zemla1.7889100 WSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182 LSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171 WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070 WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120 WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272 WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113 LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113 WSep 16 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.7351111123G. Marud2.001188101

G. Jurowicz10

LSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113 LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113 WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560 LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113 LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690 LSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730 WSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113 LSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud1.4011117113G. Jurowicz2.75741111 LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650 WSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113

Upcoming Matches

M. Koczyba

Sep 17 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.16W. Jozala4.25—Sep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.93P. Polok1.72—Sep 17 · 22:25M. Koczyba1.64M. Lebek2.05—Sep 17 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.79M. Tkocz1.84—Sep 18 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.44M. Adamus2.45—

G. Jurowicz

Sep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.20P. Zemla1.27—Sep 17 · 22:00G. Jurowicz2.15M. Adamus1.57—Sep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz3.05M. Tkocz1.29—Sep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.35P. Polok1.25—Sep 18 · 01:10G. Jurowicz2.70M. Lebek1.37—

Event Chatroom

Nobody has written yet. Sign in to be the first.

Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.