TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134321
Played Sep 15Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117115611611711
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 59.6%
86 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 10–7 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1344 vs Jurowicz 1336
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 0% vs Jurowicz 40%
Jurowicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 40% vs Jurowicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -5 · Jurowicz -2
Schaniel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.61 / Jurowicz 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Schaniel)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13134321
Schaniel1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 201 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it90% 98 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it77% 152 of 197
Jurowicz2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 89 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel4wins
AwayJurowicz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJurowicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel50%2 of 4
AwayJurowicz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel4Jurowicz6n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel8Jurowicz2n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S3Schaniel4Jurowicz6n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10
S4Schaniel3Jurowicz5n = 8Jurowicz took 5 of 8
S5Schaniel1Jurowicz2n = 3Jurowicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielJurowiczS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.8+0.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime874 / 1758 vs 311 / 78749.7%39.5%874 / 1758 vs 311 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.61/Jurowicz 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.9%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel4111116672G. Jurowicz45751111113
LMay 28 · 16:40K. Schaniel361156141G. Jurowicz4571111163
LMay 28 · 10:40K. Schaniel35612981G. Jurowicz43111011113
WMar 27 · 16:05K. Schaniel46131111113G. Jurowicz36157861
WMar 27 · 10:05K. Schaniel341211113G. Jurowicz1710340
LMar 12 · 16:30K. Schaniel35971181G. Jurowicz4111118113
WMar 12 · 10:30K. Schaniel518111011113G. Jurowicz4411912752
LJan 9 · 16:55K. Schaniel398111371G. Jurowicz4611915113
WJan 9 · 10:55K. Schaniel331111113G. Jurowicz238960
LOct 17 · 13:30K. Schaniel4571181182G. Jurowicz48118117113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 15 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.8011811113G. Marud1.91311561LSep 15 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.6111611113K. Schaniel2.20211961LSep 15 · 17:45G. Marud1.83111211113K. Schaniel1.83714691LSep 15 · 16:55K. Schaniel2.5011750J. Pruszkowski1.501311113LSep 15 · 15:50K. Schaniel2.2079111192P. Adamus1.61111176113LSep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel2.35911931O. Jadach1.5411611113WSep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.2615127113I. Szymanski3.2513101181LSep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.9711128942G. Marud1.689101111113WSep 15 · 24:30K. Adamus1.8079100K. Schaniel1.851111123WSep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.0911118113S. Szostok1.67681191
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650LSep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50111412113G. Jurowicz2.508161091LSep 15 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.731112113G. Jurowicz2.0071060WSep 15 · 16:35P. Adamus1.53117101172G. Jurowicz2.38611127113WSep 15 · 15:00G. Marud1.30116571G. Jurowicz3.4031111113LSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113WSep 8 · 23:45L. Oracz1.50711581G. Jurowicz2.5011711113LSep 8 · 22:55G. Jurowicz1.801111119102J. Nowak1.91613811123LSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113
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