TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133346
Played Sep 15Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1167111012117711
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:27 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Adamus above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pawel Adamus at 54.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Adamus 3–3 Grzegorz Jurowicz Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1454 vs Jurowicz 1333
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Jurowicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Jurowicz 50%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Jurowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.53 / Jurowicz 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Adamus)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13133346
Adamus1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 193 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it99% 92 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it79% 144 of 183
Jurowicz2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 89 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayJurowicz3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus75%3 of 4
AwayJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Jurowicz2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S2Adamus5Jurowicz1n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
S3Adamus2Jurowicz4n = 6Jurowicz took 4 of 6
S4Adamus2Jurowicz3n = 5Jurowicz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdamusJurowiczA − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.537.8+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 645 vs 309 / 78255.7%39.5%359 / 645 vs 309 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.53/Jurowicz 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 9 · 02:10P. Adamus331111113G. Jurowicz225890
LSep 8 · 20:05P. Adamus348123111G. Jurowicz45111011133
LJul 14 · 05:55P. Adamus491012111062G. Jurowicz521210712113
WMar 27 · 12:55P. Adamus4012115123G. Jurowicz3610511101
LMar 27 · 06:55P. Adamus33138661G. Jurowicz44111111113
WJul 10 · 07:30P. Adamus4211119113G. Jurowicz28741161
P. Adamus10
WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111LSep 16 · 01:00P. Adamus1.6791220G. Marud2.101114113LSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890WSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650LSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870LSep 15 · 18:55G. Marud2.1011711113P. Adamus1.67411891LSep 15 · 18:10P. Adamus1.80711661J. Pruszkowski1.9111911113WSep 15 · 15:50K. Schaniel2.2079111192P. Adamus1.61111176113LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690LSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730WSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113LSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud1.4011117113G. Jurowicz2.75741111LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650WSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113LSep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50111412113G. Jurowicz2.508161091LSep 15 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.731112113G. Jurowicz2.0071060WSep 15 · 15:00G. Marud1.30116571G. Jurowicz3.4031111113LSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Sep 16 · 22:00P. Adamus2.28J. Pruszkowski1.51—Sep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.05M. Lebek1.63—Sep 17 · 24:25P. Adamus1.39O. Sokolowski2.65—Sep 17 · 01:10P. Adamus2.27O. Jadach1.52—Sep 17 · 02:00P. Adamus1.67O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus2.05M. Lebek1.63—Sep 17 · 04:25P. Adamus1.70O. Vincenec1.95—Sep 17 · 06:00P. Adamus—J. Pruszkowski——
G. Jurowicz
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