TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134328
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11814161210119––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 91 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 71.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 14–11 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:30What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1536 vs Jurowicz 1333
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 100% vs Jurowicz 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Jurowicz 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +5 · Jurowicz -1
Pruszkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.50 / Jurowicz 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13134328
Pruszkowski1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 459 of 702
Up 2–0, closes it95% 236 of 248
Up 1–0, closes it83% 356 of 428
Jurowicz2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 89 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski3wins
AwayJurowicz7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJurowicz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski75%3 of 4
AwayJurowicz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski4Jurowicz6n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10
S2Pruszkowski5Jurowicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski3Jurowicz7n = 10Jurowicz took 7 of 10
S4Pruszkowski5Jurowicz1n = 6Pruszkowski took 5 of 6
S5Pruszkowski0Jurowicz4n = 4Jurowicz took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiJurowiczP − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.0−3.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1133 / 1784 vs 310 / 78463.5%39.5%1133 / 1784 vs 310 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.50/Jurowicz 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 17 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski30128100G. Jurowicz371411123
LMay 7 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski2491050G. Jurowicz341112113
LMay 7 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski47911511112G. Jurowicz50119116133
LMar 25 · 18:05J. Pruszkowski228770G. Jurowicz331111113
LMar 25 · 09:45J. Pruszkowski4061171152G. Jurowicz50118119113
WMar 12 · 15:45J. Pruszkowski4111118113G. Jurowicz37891191
LMar 12 · 12:05J. Pruszkowski4013711362G. Jurowicz471111311113
LJan 27 · 12:55J. Pruszkowski44108111142G. Jurowicz50121179113
WJan 27 · 06:55J. Pruszkowski3811115113G. Jurowicz34981161
WOct 15 · 15:00J. Pruszkowski391611123G. Jurowicz28144100
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 15 · 20:30G. Marud2.1011117133J. Pruszkowski1.679711111WSep 15 · 18:10P. Adamus1.80711661J. Pruszkowski1.9111911113WSep 15 · 16:55K. Schaniel2.5011750J. Pruszkowski1.501311113WSep 15 · 15:25M. Koczyba1.8361090J. Pruszkowski1.831112113WSep 14 · 17:05W. Tobiasz3.0041111152J. Pruszkowski1.36116119113WSep 14 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.85811118113M. Baron1.8011961172LSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141WSep 14 · 13:30P. Mecik3.0586110J. Pruszkowski1.291111133WSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650WSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113LSep 15 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.731112113G. Jurowicz2.0071060WSep 15 · 16:35P. Adamus1.53117101172G. Jurowicz2.38611127113WSep 15 · 15:00G. Marud1.30116571G. Jurowicz3.4031111113LSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113WSep 8 · 23:45L. Oracz1.50711581G. Jurowicz2.5011711113LSep 8 · 22:55G. Jurowicz1.801111119102J. Nowak1.91613811123LSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 15 · 21:20J. Pruszkowski1.67M. Koczyba2.10—Sep 15 · 22:55J. Pruszkowski1.40K. Schaniel2.75—Sep 16 · 24:10J. Pruszkowski1.67G. Marud2.10—Sep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.61G. Jurowicz2.20—Sep 16 · 02:35J. Pruszkowski2.10P. Adamus1.67—Sep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski—P. Adamus——Sep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski—O. Sokolowski——Sep 17 · 24:00J. Pruszkowski—O. Jadach——Sep 17 · 24:45J. Pruszkowski—O. Vincenec——Sep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski—M. Lebek——
G. Jurowicz
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