TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127973
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119116811117
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:20 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
811119116811117
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 136–86 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 86 of their 222 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Baron beat Pruszkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
136-86 in 222
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 50 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1496 vs Baron 1267
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Baron 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 70% vs Baron 40%
Pruszkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski -1 · Baron +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.85 / Baron 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13127973
Pruszkowski1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 59 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Baron1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it70% 143 of 205
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski5wins
AwayBaron5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski60%3 of 5
AwayBaron60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S2Pruszkowski5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski7Baron3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Pruszkowski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiBaronP − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.334.9−0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime1131 / 1786 vs 872 / 181563.3%48%1131 / 1786 vs 872 / 1815Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.85/Baron 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski4071111562M. Baron49118811113
WSep 8 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski331111113M. Baron258980
WSep 8 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski4271111133M. Baron361186111
LAug 6 · 24:25J. Pruszkowski28113951M. Baron4291111113
WAug 5 · 20:45J. Pruszkowski3611311113M. Baron24311551
LAug 3 · 01:55J. Pruszkowski2510870M. Baron341211113
WAug 2 · 19:55J. Pruszkowski4691511113M. Baron421113991
LJul 31 · 24:00J. Pruszkowski207580M. Baron331111113
WJul 7 · 05:05J. Pruszkowski331111113M. Baron178360
LJul 6 · 20:45J. Pruszkowski4011513832M. Baron473111111113
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141WSep 14 · 13:30P. Mecik3.0586110J. Pruszkowski1.291111133WSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.4571111562M. Baron2.50118811113WSep 14 · 08:45W. Tobiasz2.856810J. Pruszkowski1.351111113LSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791WSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113WSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772WSep 11 · 15:05J. Pruszkowski1.32711311123P. Mecik2.90114116102
M. Baron10
LSep 14 · 16:40P. Mecik2.001111113M. Baron1.728990WSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113LSep 14 · 11:30W. Tobiasz1.951111113M. Baron1.719940LSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik1.99811911123M. Baron1.68119119102WSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.4571111562M. Baron2.50118811113WSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113LSep 14 · 07:10W. Tobiasz1.95125912113M. Baron1.711011111062LSep 14 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.481511113M. Baron2.3613590LSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pruszkowski
M. Baron
Sep 15 · 03:50M. Baron1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 15 · 04:30M. Baron2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.50K. Hetnar1.50—Sep 15 · 06:55M. Baron1.83P. Gumulinski1.83—Sep 15 · 07:45M. Baron1.83M. Sikon1.83—Sep 15 · 09:00M. Baron2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.83M. Sikon1.83—Sep 15 · 11:50M. Baron1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83P. Gumulinski1.83—Sep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.50K. Hetnar1.50—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.