TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126673
Played Sep 14Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
2.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811111––––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 75.4% is still 75.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
75.4%
75.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
611811111––––
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 5–13 Jakub Pruszkowski Wojciech Tobiasz has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1272 vs Pruszkowski 1502
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 40% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 30% vs Pruszkowski 80%
Pruszkowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz +2 · Pruszkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 2.85 / Pruszkowski 1.35
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13126673
Tobiasz2.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Pruszkowski1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 453 of 693
Up 2–0, closes it95% 233 of 245
Up 1–0, closes it83% 350 of 422
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTobiasz3wins
AwayPruszkowski7wins
Pruszkowski leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiaszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPruszkowski75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S2Tobiasz6Pruszkowski4n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S3Tobiasz3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Tobiasz2Pruszkowski4n = 6Pruszkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTobiaszPruszkowskiT − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.035.3−3.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 708 vs 1127 / 178046.2%63.3%327 / 708 vs 1127 / 1780Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiTobiasz 2.85/Pruszkowski 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.9%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 16:40W. Tobiasz184860J. Pruszkowski331111113
WAug 20 · 10:40W. Tobiasz43101111113J. Pruszkowski26129231
LAug 5 · 13:10W. Tobiasz351112751J. Pruszkowski4041411113
LAug 5 · 05:30W. Tobiasz162950J. Pruszkowski331111113
LJul 30 · 11:55W. Tobiasz421411891J. Pruszkowski4716911113
LJul 30 · 05:55W. Tobiasz347116101J. Pruszkowski4311911123
LJun 26 · 13:30W. Tobiasz176650J. Pruszkowski331111113
WJun 26 · 07:30W. Tobiasz45101112123J. Pruszkowski3812610101
WApr 9 · 13:10W. Tobiasz331111113J. Pruszkowski208480
LApr 9 · 05:30W. Tobiasz371011881J. Pruszkowski4012611113
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123WSep 14 · 07:10W. Tobiasz1.95125912113M. Baron1.711011111062WSep 14 · 06:20P. Mecik1.88771111102W. Tobiasz1.76111184123LSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.4581211113W. Tobiasz2.551110731LSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342LSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.70111167123W. Tobiasz2.00381111102LSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851LSep 7 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.25411911113W. Tobiasz3.5011711532LSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791WSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113WSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772WSep 11 · 15:05J. Pruszkowski1.32711311123P. Mecik2.90114116102LSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113WSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192WSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100
Upcoming Matches
W. Tobiasz
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.45M. Baron2.50—Sep 14 · 11:05J. Pruszkowski1.63G. Wichowski2.06—Sep 14 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.41Y. Fomin2.55—Sep 14 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.29P. Mecik3.05—Sep 14 · 14:45J. Pruszkowski1.63G. Wichowski2.06—Sep 14 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.38M. Baron2.70—Sep 14 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski1.31W. Tobiasz3.00—
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