TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127543
Played Sep 14Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
3.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8116111113––––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:14 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
8116111113––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 10–28 Jakub Pruszkowski Patryk Mecik has won 10 of their 38 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Mecik beat Pruszkowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (70%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-28 in 38
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 18 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1272 vs Pruszkowski 1508
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 60% vs Pruszkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Pruszkowski 70%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Pruszkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 3.05 / Pruszkowski 1.29
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127543
Mecik3.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 83
Pruszkowski1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 453 of 693
Up 2–0, closes it95% 233 of 245
Up 1–0, closes it83% 350 of 422
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik3wins
AwayPruszkowski7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik50%3 of 6
AwayPruszkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik6Pruszkowski4n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S2Mecik2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S3Mecik6Pruszkowski4n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S4Mecik3Pruszkowski4n = 7Pruszkowski took 4 of 7
S5Mecik1Pruszkowski4n = 5Pruszkowski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikPruszkowskiM − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.744.1−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 820 vs 1130 / 178440.1%63.3%329 / 820 vs 1130 / 1784Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiMecik 3.05/Pruszkowski 1.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik4211911113J. Pruszkowski35811791
LSep 11 · 15:05P. Mecik42114116102J. Pruszkowski44711311123
LSep 11 · 09:05P. Mecik4311811762J. Pruszkowski51911911113
LJul 14 · 11:50P. Mecik551112121192J. Pruszkowski57914149113
WJun 26 · 14:20P. Mecik51116117163J. Pruszkowski53811911142
LJun 26 · 06:20P. Mecik134720J. Pruszkowski331111113
WMay 6 · 07:25P. Mecik331111113J. Pruszkowski236980
LDec 26 · 15:20P. Mecik5099131272J. Pruszkowski5411111110113
LDec 26 · 07:20P. Mecik31710140J. Pruszkowski391112163
LOct 27 · 14:30P. Mecik471614981J. Pruszkowski52181211113
P. Mecik10
LSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113WSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik1.99811911123M. Baron1.68119119102WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791LSep 14 · 06:20P. Mecik1.88771111102W. Tobiasz1.76111184123LSep 12 · 08:00O. Sokolowski1.9014511113P. Mecik1.801211951LSep 12 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.57111193113P. Mecik2.2598111172WSep 12 · 06:25P. Mecik2.0111118113O. Sokolowski1.66981191
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.4571111562M. Baron2.50118811113WSep 14 · 08:45W. Tobiasz2.856810J. Pruszkowski1.351111113LSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791WSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113WSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772WSep 11 · 15:05J. Pruszkowski1.32711311123P. Mecik2.90114116102LSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113WSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113
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