TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127968
Played Sep 14Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
118119119––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 12–10 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Mecik beat Baron 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:21What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Mecik
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1271 vs Baron 1282
Baron
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Baron 60%
Baron
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Baron 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +1 · Baron +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.00 / Baron 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baron)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127968
Mecik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 83
Baron1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it70% 143 of 205
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwayBaron5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBaron62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik2Baron8n = 10Baron took 8 of 10
S2Mecik7Baron3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S3Mecik7Baron3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S4Mecik4Baron3n = 7Mecik took 4 of 7
S5Mecik2Baron3n = 5Baron took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikBaronM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.3−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 823 vs 872 / 181440.1%48.1%330 / 823 vs 872 / 1814Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronMecik 2.00/Baron 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik51811911123M. Baron50119119102
LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik269890M. Baron331111113
WAug 31 · 10:40P. Mecik495111111113M. Baron4311137752
WAug 4 · 16:20P. Mecik341111123M. Baron2789100
WAug 4 · 06:45P. Mecik3951111123M. Baron361196101
LJul 30 · 16:00P. Mecik4031111962M. Baron50119811113
LMar 6 · 07:00P. Mecik45121111382M. Baron50148611113
LDec 19 · 10:55P. Mecik28661151M. Baron4111118113
WNov 21 · 14:30P. Mecik381411133M. Baron31128110
LNov 21 · 08:30P. Mecik3951121472M. Baron521171112113
P. Mecik10
WSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 13:30P. Mecik3.0586110J. Pruszkowski1.291111133LSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113WSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik1.99811911123M. Baron1.68119119102WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791LSep 14 · 06:20P. Mecik1.88771111102W. Tobiasz1.76111184123LSep 12 · 08:00O. Sokolowski1.9014511113P. Mecik1.801211951
M. Baron10
LSep 14 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.85811118113M. Baron1.8011961172WSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113LSep 14 · 11:30W. Tobiasz1.951111113M. Baron1.719940LSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik1.99811911123M. Baron1.68119119102WSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.4571111562M. Baron2.50118811113WSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113LSep 14 · 07:10W. Tobiasz1.95125912113M. Baron1.711011111062LSep 14 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.481511113M. Baron2.3613590LSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113
Upcoming Matches
P. Mecik
Nothing scheduled
M. Baron
Sep 15 · 03:50M. Baron1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 15 · 04:30M. Baron2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.50K. Hetnar1.50—Sep 15 · 06:55M. Baron1.83P. Gumulinski1.83—Sep 15 · 07:45M. Baron1.83M. Sikon1.83—Sep 15 · 09:00M. Baron2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.83M. Sikon1.83—Sep 15 · 11:50M. Baron1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83P. Gumulinski1.83—Sep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.50K. Hetnar1.50—
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