TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127713
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511711––––
Patryk Mecik
Away
2.08
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
711511711––––
H2H Yurij Fomin 40–34 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 34 of their 74 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Mecik beat Fomin 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-34 in 74
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 6 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1310 vs Mecik 1253
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Mecik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 30% vs Mecik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Mecik -3
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.62 / Mecik 2.08
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Fomin)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13127713
Fomin1.62
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 88 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Mecik2.08
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayMecik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin83.3%5 of 6
AwayMecik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin6Mecik4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Fomin7Mecik3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S3Fomin4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S4Fomin3Mecik4n = 7Mecik took 4 of 7
S5Fomin2Mecik1n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominMecikF − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.3+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 549 vs 329 / 82248.6%40%267 / 549 vs 329 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.62/Mecik 2.08
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin4671181192P. Mecik46117116113
WSep 7 · 12:45Y. Fomin4013511113P. Mecik371111871
LSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin37137891P. Mecik44111111113
WSep 4 · 03:10Y. Fomin331111113P. Mecik187560
LAug 17 · 17:05Y. Fomin421014991P. Mecik46121211113
WAug 17 · 08:45Y. Fomin47711117113P. Mecik4711891182
WJun 29 · 13:55Y. Fomin43111110113P. Mecik34961271
WJun 29 · 07:55Y. Fomin331111113P. Mecik167720
WJun 22 · 16:40Y. Fomin47111186113P. Mecik4889111192
LJun 22 · 10:40Y. Fomin2561360P. Mecik371115113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113LSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081LSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113WSep 11 · 08:45Y. Fomin1.601111113J. Nowak2.155480LSep 11 · 07:10Y. Fomin2.20471161M. Lebek1.5711115113
P. Mecik10
LSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 13:30P. Mecik3.0586110J. Pruszkowski1.291111133LSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113WSep 14 · 10:40P. Mecik1.99811911123M. Baron1.68119119102WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791LSep 14 · 06:20P. Mecik1.88771111102W. Tobiasz1.76111184123LSep 12 · 08:00O. Sokolowski1.9014511113P. Mecik1.801211951LSep 12 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.57111193113P. Mecik2.2598111172
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