TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133622
Played Sep 15Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711511––––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 58 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 58.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 83–146 Jakub Pruszkowski Krzysztof Schaniel has won 83 of their 229 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
83-146 in 229
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 63 in 229, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1411 vs Pruszkowski 1515
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Pruszkowski 80%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 50% vs Pruszkowski 70%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -2 · Pruszkowski +3
Pruszkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 2.50 / Pruszkowski 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13133622
Schaniel2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 181 of 429
Down 0–1, comes back29% 66 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 125
Pruszkowski1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 459 of 702
Up 2–0, closes it95% 236 of 248
Up 1–0, closes it83% 356 of 428
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel4wins
AwayPruszkowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel75%3 of 4
AwayPruszkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S3Schaniel8Pruszkowski2n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S4Schaniel2Pruszkowski5n = 7Pruszkowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.8+1.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime876 / 1756 vs 1131 / 178249.9%63.5%876 / 1756 vs 1131 / 1782Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiSchaniel 2.50/Pruszkowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel331111113J. Pruszkowski239860
WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel331111113J. Pruszkowski203980
LAug 20 · 10:10K. Schaniel305411101J. Pruszkowski4011116123
WAug 20 · 07:45K. Schaniel401111183J. Pruszkowski2857160
LAug 19 · 01:00K. Schaniel35117891J. Pruszkowski3961111113
LAug 18 · 15:00K. Schaniel351071171J. Pruszkowski3912115113
LJul 16 · 14:45K. Schaniel4410161171J. Pruszkowski4712186113
LJul 16 · 11:05K. Schaniel4691161372J. Pruszkowski491151111113
WJul 7 · 02:10K. Schaniel481051111113J. Pruszkowski4212119372
LJul 6 · 23:05K. Schaniel38991191J. Pruszkowski4111118113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 15 · 15:50K. Schaniel2.2079111192P. Adamus1.61111176113LSep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel2.35911931O. Jadach1.5411611113WSep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.2615127113I. Szymanski3.2513101181LSep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.9711128942G. Marud1.689101111113WSep 15 · 24:30K. Adamus1.8079100K. Schaniel1.851111123WSep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.0911118113S. Szostok1.67681191WSep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.1011117113K. Adamus1.60971171LSep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.267550I. Szymanski3.251111113WSep 14 · 19:55K. Schaniel2.009111411113G. Marud1.7111216382LSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 15 · 15:25M. Koczyba1.8361090J. Pruszkowski1.831112113WSep 14 · 17:05W. Tobiasz3.0041111152J. Pruszkowski1.36116119113WSep 14 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.85811118113M. Baron1.8011961172LSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141WSep 14 · 13:30P. Mecik3.0586110J. Pruszkowski1.291111133WSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.4571111562M. Baron2.50118811113WSep 14 · 08:45W. Tobiasz2.856810J. Pruszkowski1.351111113LSep 14 · 07:30P. Mecik2.7511911113J. Pruszkowski1.37811791
Upcoming Matches
K. Schaniel
Sep 15 · 18:30K. Schaniel2.10M. Koczyba1.67—Sep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.61G. Jurowicz2.20—Sep 15 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.83G. Marud1.83—Sep 15 · 22:55K. Schaniel2.75J. Pruszkowski1.40—Sep 15 · 23:45K. Schaniel2.20P. Adamus1.61—Sep 16 · 24:35K. Schaniel2.20M. Koczyba1.61—Sep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel—G. Jurowicz——
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 15 · 18:10J. Pruszkowski1.91P. Adamus1.80—Sep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50G. Jurowicz2.50—Sep 15 · 20:30J. Pruszkowski1.67G. Marud2.10—Sep 15 · 21:20J. Pruszkowski1.67M. Koczyba2.10—Sep 15 · 22:55J. Pruszkowski1.40K. Schaniel2.75—Sep 16 · 24:10J. Pruszkowski1.67G. Marud2.10—Sep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.50G. Jurowicz2.50—Sep 16 · 02:35J. Pruszkowski1.91P. Adamus1.80—Sep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski—P. Adamus——Sep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski—O. Sokolowski——
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